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Independent Horse Racing Handicapping and Analysis
Weekly Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Weekly Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Published every Saturday
November 7, 2026 Belmont Park
November 7, 2026 Belmont Park
Race 7. The Carle Place Stakes. Purse $175,000. 6f turf 3yrs.
Considerations
Considerations
This test for three year olds looks fairly wide open with no clear favourite. There is not a ton of early speed so #9 Intricate Spirit (12-1 ML) or #8 Illmatic (9-2 ML) may get the chance to steal the race on the front end. Both are trained by Miguel Clement so a burn-it-to-the-ground speed duel is unlikely.
Most Likely Winner
Most Likely Winner
Four of these colts ran in the Bricks and Mortar Stakes last month, won by today's likely favourite #4 Doubting Thomas (ML 7-2). The race is wide open, but for most likely winner I will give the edge to my selection #7 Two Out Hero (ML 6-1).
My Selection
My Selection
#7 Two Out Hero (ML 6-1) was the 3/2 favourite in the Bricks and Mortar but looked uncomfortable boxed in on the rail. When he made a stretch move on the inside he was cut off by front runner Intricate Spirit and never threatened again. He switches jockeys and may be overlooked today although I don't expect to see the morning line price.
Recent Musings: October 31, 2026. Happy Halloween and Happy Breeders' Cup Saturday. With big races like the Triple Crown and the Breeders Cup, the temptation to try to "pick winners" is strong. We want to be able to say "I had that horse" or better yet be a successful tout for our friends and family who only watch a few races a year. The key to gambling, in this sport and others, is to wager at odds that are better than the true odds. With a fluctuating odds board and a healthy track takeout of 15-25% the task is difficult. (continued)
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